Data Sources: The Oscar Award, 1927-2025 (acquired from Kaggle), Film
and Actor Details (acquired from The Movie Database API), Google Trends
|
Three Most Popular Months for Google Search Interest by Actor Type
|
|
Type
|
Month
|
Google Trend Search Interest (mean)
|
|
Commercially Successful
|
1
|
13.1
|
|
Commercially Successful
|
7
|
13.1
|
|
Commercially Successful
|
12
|
12.7
|
|
Oscar Nominated
|
1
|
12.0
|
|
Oscar Nominated
|
2
|
11.6
|
|
Oscar Nominated
|
3
|
11.0
|
|
Commercially Successful & Oscar Nominated
|
1
|
14.5
|
|
Commercially Successful & Oscar Nominated
|
2
|
13.4
|
|
Commercially Successful & Oscar Nominated
|
12
|
13.1
|
Data Sources: The Oscar Award, 1927-2025 (acquired from Kaggle), Film
and Actor Details (acquired from The Movie Database API), Google Trends
|
Five Most Representative Actors in Each Cluster
|
|
1 - Blockbuster Staple
|
2 - Breakout Star or Memorialized
|
3 - Critically Acclaimed
|
4 - Pop Fame
|
5 - Emerging or Consistent Stardom
|
|
Chris Hemsworth
|
Maria Bakalova
|
Felicity Jones
|
Taylor Lautner
|
Gwilym Lee
|
|
Nicolas Cage
|
Chadwick Boseman
|
Glen Powell
|
Orlando Bloom
|
Tao Okamoto
|
|
Lyna
|
Irrfan Khan
|
Rami Malek
|
Megan Fox
|
George MacKay
|
|
Sam Elliott
|
Jean Dujardin
|
Tom Hiddleston
|
Freida Pinto
|
Zazie Beetz
|
|
Mads Mikkelsen
|
Carrie Fisher
|
Pedro Pascal
|
Moon Bloodgood
|
Theo James
|
Data Sources: The Oscar Award, 1927-2025 (acquired from Kaggle), Film
and Actor Details (acquired from The Movie Database API), Google Trends
|
What Percent of Actors in Each Cluster are Oscar Nominees?
|
|
Cluster
|
Percent Nominees (%)
|
|
1 - Blockbuster Staple
|
25
|
|
2 - Breakout Star or Memorialized
|
45
|
|
3 - Critically Acclaimed
|
41
|
|
4 - Pop Fame
|
22
|
|
5 - Emerging or Consistent Stardom
|
30
|
## # A tibble: 2 × 6
## .metric .estimator mean n std_err .config
## <chr> <chr> <dbl> <int> <dbl> <chr>
## 1 accuracy binary 0.733 5 0.00737 Preprocessor1_Model1
## 2 roc_auc binary 0.810 5 0.00853 Preprocessor1_Model1
## # A tibble: 2 × 6
## .metric .estimator mean n std_err .config
## <chr> <chr> <dbl> <int> <dbl> <chr>
## 1 accuracy binary 0.717 5 0.00673 Preprocessor1_Model1
## 2 roc_auc binary 0.800 5 0.0155 Preprocessor1_Model1
|
|
Confusion Matrix Counts by Model
|
|
True Label
|
Predicted Label
|
All Predictors
|
TS Predictors Only
|
|
0
|
0
|
1204
|
1255
|
|
1
|
0
|
432
|
390
|
|
0
|
1
|
17
|
23
|
|
1
|
1
|
49
|
34
|
|
|
Model Performance Comparison
|
|
Metric
|
All Predictors
|
TS Predictors Only
|
|
f_meas
|
0.843
|
0.859
|
|
sens
|
0.736
|
0.763
|
|
bal_accuracy
|
0.739
|
0.680
|
|
Who are the Dark Horse Nominees?
|
|
All Predictors
|
TS Predictors Only
|
|
Ryan Gosling (2006)
|
Matt Dillon (2005)
|
|
Edward Norton (2024)
|
Mark Ruffalo (2015)
|
|
Johnny Depp (2004)
|
Colin Farrell (2022)
|
|
Daniel Kaluuya (2017)
|
Sam Elliott (2018)
|
|
Daniel Kaluuya (2020)
|
Robert De Niro (2023)
|
|
Who are the Oscar Snubs?
|
|
All Predictors
|
TS Predictors Only
|
|
Michelle Rodriguez (2005)
|
Emma Thompson (2013)
|
|
Hugh Grant (2022)
|
Clint Eastwood (2018)
|
|
Mary J. Blige (2009)
|
Julia Roberts (2018)
|
|
Harris Dickinson (2023)
|
Annette Bening (2016)
|
|
Danny Huston (2021)
|
Kristen Stewart (2020)
|
